| Damascus Strikes a Deal with the SDF By Hafssa
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Reversing conflict dynamics. Last week, the Syrian government signed a deal to reintegrate the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) into the state. In a move both surprising and long-awaited. President al-Sharaa sat down with SDF Commander Mazloum Abdi, raising hopes for Syria’s path toward unity. If implemented, the agreement will grant the government control over the oil-rich region of northern Syria, and expand the army’s territorial reach. In other words, it would spare the government the hassle of reasserting control over a region that has long been outside its grasp. Plus, with multiple spoilers – including Israel and remnants of the former regime – present, engaging with the SDF has become more of a necessity than simply a diplomatic manoeuvre. Unresolved questions. While the agreement was celebrated among Syrians (as it should), it remains to be seen to what extent the SDF is willing to compromise its autonomy vis-à-vis the army and state institutions. What would an ‘SDF 2.0’ look like within the army? Is it true that Abdi is abandoning the autonomous project he has long advocated for? If so, what is he seeking in return? Perhaps it’s because the SDF no longer enjoys the luxury of Iranian and Russian support. What could jeopardise compliance with the agreement during the implementation period? And what about the US-SDF alliance, especially concerning counterterrorism? These are some of the critical questions that need to be carefully considered. Türkiye remains cautious. Syria’s neighbour is closely monitoring these developments with caution. The SDF maintains close links with Ankara’s primary adversary, the PKK/YPG, and the optimistic scenario of the SDF fully reintegrating into the Syrian state could signal the end of Kurdish separatism, especially since PKK leader Öcalan’s called on Kurdish fighters to lay down their arms. However, Türkiye remains cautious as its least favourite scenario is a neighbouring government with Kurdish factions operating autonomously. Ankara will be talking a lot with the Syrians and the Americans to prevent one of its worst nightmares. Kolay gelsin, good luck! |
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Everyone Wants to Talk about the Nuclear Deal with Iran By Fatin
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Beijing takes the lead. Last week, senior diplomats from Iran, Russia, and China met in Beijing to explore a path forward for Iran’s long-stalled nuclear negotiations. The talks, led by the Chinese Vice Foreign Minister, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister, and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister, highlighted the urgent need to lift unilateral sanctions and resume dialogue amid rising geopolitical friction. This meeting was a preliminary step for Iran, Russia, and China to align their positions on the nuclear deal, rather than a full restart of negotiations. It also signalled to the US that, despite President Trump’s ties with Moscow, Washington now faces a more unified opposing bloc. Washington is taking a different route. In an unexpected move, Trump personally sent a letter to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, via the UAE. His messagewas blunt: resume negotiations and reach a deal, or brace for a renewed ‘maximum pressure’ campaign, which could include harsher sanctions and possible military confrontation. But Khamenei, unwavering as ever, dismissedTrump’s letter as deceptive, warning that Washington’s excessive demands would only "tighten the knot of sanctions and increase pressure on Iran." His rejection showed Iran’s refusal to engage with what it sees as a coercive and insincere approach from the US. Meanwhile, Brussels is struggling to have a say. Kaja Kallas – the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs – recently emphasised the importance of a multilateral diplomatic approach during a UNSC session on EU-UN cooperation. She showcased the 2015 Nuclear Deal as a key example, stating, "There is no sustainable alternative to a diplomatic solution." Yet, the EU now finds itself sidelined. Despite hosting three rounds of talks with Iranian officials since September 2024, there have been no tangible results. Worse, Brussels is caught in a paradox: advocating diplomacy while condemning Iran’s military support for Russia in Ukraine. The EU’s once-central role in the JCPOA negotiations is fading, leaving it to navigate a delicate and increasingly challenging balancing act. Time is running out. The JCPOA is set to expire in 2025, along with the last remaining enforcement mechanisms that have applied some pressure on Iran. Tehran maintains that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, but recent findings by the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) suggest otherwise. The IAEA’s March report revealed a concerning 50% increase in Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium, now estimated to be 40 times the JCPOA’s original limit. These figures heighten fears that Tehran is inching closer to nuclear weapons capability, deepening global concerns. |
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Now, a bit of culture… In this section, we uncover some of the most listened and watched musicians, writers or YouTubers of the MENA or new publications, articles or books either from or on the region. If you have any suggestions, you’re always welcome to tell us via our email! A forgotten genocide. You may be familiar with the Holocaust or the Rwandan genocide, but have you ever heard of the Libyan genocide? Between 1929 and 1934, the people of eastern Libya endured the brutality of the Italian fascist colonial regime. Around 83,000 Libyans perished and 110,000 had been forcibly displaced to horrific concentration camps. In Genocide in Libya: Shar, a Hidden Colonial History, Libyan scholar Ali Abdullatif Ahmida delves into an invisible genocide that has never been recognised or apologised for. Drawing on oral history, Ahmida explores how evidence was destroyed to cover up the atrocities committed across the shore. The Arabic word ‘Shar’ (شر) is rooted in the testimonies of survivors who associated it with death, loss and starvation. Ahmida’s work, the product of ten decades of research, documents how silence has been used as a tool of domination and as a form of resistance.
A special anniversary. On March 15th, thousands of Syrians gathered in Daraa to commemorate the 14th anniversary of the Syrian revolution, despite the ongoing threat of Israeli airstrikes. Daraa holds a special value among Syrians, as it was one of the first cities to witness blood and destruction in 2011.
Let the MENA Speak
Did you know that Farsi is not related to Arabic, even though it is written in Arabic script? Farsi has been written in many scripts, and the Arabic script was only introduced following the Muslim conquest of Persia in the 7th century. While Farsi and Arabic share many words, their similarities are shallow. The first is an Indo-European language whereas the second is an Afro-Asiatic, Semitic, language. |
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