NEEDC โ€” Better to be less wrong now than audited later

L.C.D. Consulting ยท Circular Clean Wave
THE LESS-WRONG DOCTRINE · NEEDC · SINCE 2011 ICE Live EUA Daily Future →
When humans clear-cut the forests and drain the marshes, the local climate changes.
— Theophrastus, father of ecology, c. 300 BC

Better to be less wrong now
than conventionally right
— and audited later.

Theophrastus didn’t wait for a 400-page methodology. He used his eyes. When the textbooks are wrong, you don’t need to be perfect — you need to be less wrong. Since 2011 we stopped asking “is this perfect?” and started asking: is it directionally correct, structurally sound, and actually happening?

Additionality treated as a yes/no gate is logically tidy and frequently wrong. So NEEDC splits the claim — and prices only the part we can stand behind today.

B2 · Sold now
A pre-compliance forward sale on embodied carbon avoided vs the LETI Band D benchmark. Measured, EPD-verified, priced at a 10% integrity buffer below the gross saving. Zero VAT under HMRC RCB 7.
The part we can price today.
B1 · Held back
The permanence reserve — the harder, honest part. Unsold until the building’s actual demolition & recycling, verified by drone, GPS and a five-gate chain of custody no single party controls. A Rolling Reduction Credit only once reality has happened.
Paid only when it’s real.

We’d rather sell you a smaller claim we can defend than a bigger one we’re hoping holds up.

Amazon Cividate al Piano · real building, real EPD, fully disclosed
57,458
m² GFA
956
kg/m² vs 1,180
10,320
net tradable units
£49
/t OTC

This is probably the last generation of the market that gets to hold inflated numbers and have nobody check. Scope 3 disclosure, ICVCM and CORSIA scrutiny are all tightening — and “logically justifiable” isn’t the same as actually true.

Reply “LESS WRONG” → ☎ +44 7308 139 770

We’ll walk you through the full Cividate al Piano numbers — real building, real EPD, real ambiguity.

Best regards,

Alexander Morgan
Director · Circular Clean Wave Ltd · NEEDC
+44 7308 139 770 · [email protected]

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