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Hello ESTers, how have you been?



Welcome back to InsideMENA, your go-to bimonthly dive into the latest developments across the Middle East and North Africa, touching upon the EU’s interests and beyond. From politics to culture, we’ve got you covered!



After the summer break, we are once again ready to jump right InsideMENA!



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Edited by Clarice Agostini



Note that the information, views and opinions set out in the newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion or position of the editors, of the European Student ThinkTank, and of their affiliated-entities or institutions.



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Syria’s First Elections Since Assad: A Managed Transition Amid Limited Representation

By Francesco

Syria’s first elections since the fall of Bashar al-Assad. The new Syria held its first elections, a milestone in the country’s fragile transitional period. But while Interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa hailed the vote as a “historic moment,” the elections, held on 5 October, exposed the limits of Syria’s new political experiment.



There was no direct popular vote. Instead, “electoral colleges” selected representatives for two-thirds of the 210 seats in the new People’s Assembly, while Sharaa himself appointed the remaining third. The Higher Committee for the Syrian People’s Assembly Elections (whose 11 members were chosen by the president) oversaw the process. The elections took place in only 50 of Syria’s 60 districts, as polls were postponed in the Kurdish-controlled provinces of Raqqa and Hassakeh, and in the Druze-majority Suweida, due to security concerns. Those 20 unfilled seats will remain vacant until conditions allow new polls, officials said.



Authorities touted the elections as a step toward building “institutions and laws that guarantee the rights of all,” but observers and civil society groups warned that the system was designed to preserve presidential control. With the president appointing nearly a third of the parliament, and his influence extending over the Higher Committee and electoral colleges, analysts said the outcome reflected power balances more than public will.



Concerns over representation were widespread. According to the Higher Committee, only 13% of the elected seats went to women and minority candidates, six women and ten representatives from religious or ethnic minorities out of 119 elected members. Committee spokesman Nawar Najmeh admitted to “significant shortcomings” and said the president’s appointments might “compensate” for the lack of diversity.



Syrian Kurdish and Druze leaders condemned the process as exclusionary. Thouraya Mustafa of the Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) said it showed that the government “has the same mentality as the previous authoritarian regime,” while Druze cleric Fadi Badria called the elections illegitimate, saying they “will not be recognised by the province.” Sharaa, whose Sunni Islamist movement led the offensive that ended Assad’s 13-year rule, promised an “inclusive and democratic transition.” Yet ten months on, sectarian violence, regional fragmentation, and institutional fragility continue to challenge that pledge. For many Syrians, millions of whom remain displaced, this election looked less like a rebirth of democracy than a tightly managed step into an uncertain new order.

EU’s New Pact for the Mediterranean

By Laura

On 16 October, the European Commission announced the launching of a “new ambitious strategy”. Its goal: strengthening the relations with its Southern Mediterranean neighbours and partners. In a moment of major geopolitical turmoil and growing competition coming from Russia and China, this new Pact reaffirms the region’s strategic importance for the EU.



Three ambitious pillars. This new strategy is built on three pillars: people, economic prosperity, and security. The EU places the attention on people and human development, expanding education, skills and youth opportunities through initiatives like a Mediterranean University. Furthermore, Brussels wants to strengthen trade and investment relations prioritising sustainable solutions in sectors such as agriculture and energy production. Finally, the pact aims at enchanting regional preparedness to common security challenges.



How to turn vision into reality? While the plan seems good on paper, the key challenge lies in turning this ambition into reality. With no new funding and the EU’s external resources already committed until 2027, the Pact risks remaining largely declaratory. Its success will therefore depend on political will, Member States’ engagement, and private sector investment. In the coming months, we will see if these strategic goals are translated into tangible results.

Will it hold? Breaches in the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire

By Hannah

7 days of "peace". Only a week on from the ceasefire between Hamas and Israel coming into effect, there have been serious concerns about its durability. Since being stipulated last Friday, there have been multiple breaches, the most serious occurring over the weekend, when the Israeli military carried out multiple strikes in Southern Gaza, killing 44 people. The IDF argued that this was in response to Hamas gunfire in Rafah that killed two soldiers. While Trump has announced that the ceasefire is still in place, tensions remain high.



Yet this is not the only violation of the ceasefire. Israel has been accused of breaching the ceasefire over 47 times since it came into effect. Currently, Israel is occupying over 50% of the Gaza Strip. Under the ceasefire agreement, this is demarcated with a red and yellow line. Yet Palestinian people, due to limited Internet access and a lack of physical marcation of the yellow line, are not aware of when they may be crossing it. The IDF has fired at multiple people for the said reason, including hitting a bus in Northern Gaza with a tank shell, killing 11 people from the same family.



The creation of scarcity. Throughout the genocide, Israel has been accused of using starvation as a weapon of war against the Palestinians through the control of aid entering the Strip. Once again, there is evidence that this is the case. Over the weekend, the Israeli government suspended aid from entering Gaza, and it still continues to keep the Rafah crossing closed. Agencies, including the UN and WHO, highlight that aid is critically scarce and that the aid deliveries are at less than half of the agreed frequency.



Tensions are mounting. One major risk to the continuation of the ceasefire is the return of all dead hostage bodies from within Gaza to Israel. Hamas has argued that without specialist heavy machinery, which is not permitted to enter the Strip, they cannot locate the remaining 16 bodies amongst the rubble that remains of Gaza. Palestinians are equally mourning the return of their dead. Yet families are struggling to identify the remains of their loved ones, with bodies showing clear evidence of torture and execution.

Morocco’s Gen Z Rise for Social Justice

By Alicia

GenZ 212. Since mid-September, a wave of ongoing youth-led demonstrations has filled the streets of over ten Moroccan cities — from Rabat to Marrakech and Agadir. The grassroots movement, calling itself GenZ 212, has seen thousands of young people mobilize in a decentralized and leaderless way to demand social reforms. Drawing parallels with recent youth-led protests worldwide, including in Nepal and Madagascar, social media and digital mobilization is once again playing a central role.



“We need hospitals more than football stadiums.” The country is currently preparing to host the 2026 African Cup of Nations and co-host the 2030 World Cup, investing billions in football infrastructure. Paradoxically, public services — particularly health and education — remain worryingly neglected. In fact, the tragic deaths of several pregnant women in a public hospital within a single month, exposing dire conditions and staff shortages, were the spark that ignited the protests.



Between repression and reform promises. While the GenZ 212 movement has consistently rejected violence and maintained largely peaceful demonstrations, episodes of violence and clashes with authorities have been reported. Moroccan security forces have cracked down on protesters, resorting to disproportionate force and mass arrests. According to Human Rights Watch, at least three people have been shot dead and hundreds injured, while nearly 1,000 have reportedly been detained. Meanwhile, the Moroccan government unprecedentedly announced concrete reforms in healthcare, education, employment and youth participation in politics. A key promise includes prioritizing social spending during 2026. Yet, whether words will turn into action remains to be seen.





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The Observatory







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