From what distance in the fairway are players more likely to hit it outside 30 feet than inside 30 feet? It doesn't matter if the ball finished on the green or not, just that it finished more than 30 feet from the hole.
THE NUMBERS:
Tour pro: 180 yards
Scratch: 122 yards
5 index: 111 yards
10 index: 86 yards
15 index: 55 yards
Let this sink in:
The typical 10 index is more likely to hit it outside of 30 feet from 86 yards in the fairway!!! 86 yards!!!
Manage your expectations:
If you are a 10 index, should you try to hit every 86 yard shot inside of 30 feet? Yes. Absolutely.
Will you? No.
Don't beat yourself up when every shot does not go exactly where you intended.
What can you do?
Keep working on tightening up your dispersion.
Becoming a better ball striker does not mean you start hitting everything stone dead. It means your bad (and mediocre) shots start to get a little better.
You can use the numbers above to guide and benchmark your practice sessions. See how many you can hit inside of 30 feet from a given distance.
#ManageYourExpectations
Data from @ArccosGolf via @LouStagner (on X/Twitter)